Four weeks ’til the World Cup 100K in Winschoten (the Netherlands). Today was my “dress rehearsal,” i.e., a long run (13 laps around Green Lake, or 36.4 miles) at something resembling race pace.
Most of my recent workouts have indicated that I’m in worse shape than I was during the winter and early spring. Today was the definitive test of this. The answer I got was: yes, I truly am out of shape.
A few months ago, I probably could have averaged 6:10 per mile for 35-40 solo miles over flat roads. Today, short of running myself into the ground, all I could manage were 6:20s.
What this means for Winschoten is that I must purge all grandiose ambitions from my mind. At the start of the year, I had thought that Tom Johnson’s American record of 6:30:11 (set in Winschoten in 1995) might be within my reach on a perfect day. Nope. My new plan is to run the first 50K at 6:25/mile pace, then hang onto 6:35/mile pace during the second 50K. That will bring me to the finish in just under 6 hours and 45 minutes, and that will have to suffice.
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